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ChatGPT’s Rising E-Commerce Influence – But Giants Still Dominate

ChatGPT e-commerce Amazon Walmart AI Retail Apptopia
December 02, 2025
Viqus Verdict Logo Viqus Verdict Logo 7
Market Shift, Not Revolution
Media Hype 8/10
Real Impact 7/10

Article Summary

A recent analysis by Apptopia reveals a notable increase in ChatGPT’s role as a referrer to e-commerce websites, particularly during the Black Friday shopping weekend. ChatGPT referrals to retail mobile apps rose by 28% year-over-year, fueled by the increasing popularity of using AI chatbots for shopping recommendations. However, the data indicates that the impact on smaller retailers is minimal. Amazon currently captures 54% of ChatGPT referrals, a significant increase from 40.5% in 2024, while Walmart's share has grown from 2.7% to 14.9%. Apptopia defined a referral session as a retail mobile app session directly following a ChatGPT session within 30 seconds. Despite this substantial growth, AI’s overall contribution to the referral market remains small—only 0.82% of all ChatGPT sessions compared to 0.64% last year. Adobe’s data corroborates these findings, showing an 805% increase in AI traffic to U.S. retail sites on Black Friday, with AI users 38% more likely to make a purchase. This trend is amplified during Cyber Monday, with AI traffic up 670% and 760% year-over-year, respectively, further showcasing the burgeoning influence of AI in consumer behavior.

Key Points

  • ChatGPT referrals to e-commerce sites increased 28% year-over-year during Black Friday.
  • Amazon currently captures 54% of ChatGPT referrals, highlighting its continued dominance in the e-commerce landscape.
  • Despite the growth in AI-driven referrals, the overall impact on the broader referral market and smaller retailers remains modest.

Why It Matters

This news is critical for professionals involved in e-commerce, digital marketing, and AI strategy. It demonstrates the evolving role of AI in shaping consumer behavior, particularly during peak shopping seasons. While the growth in ChatGPT referrals is noteworthy, it underscores the established market power of giants like Amazon and Walmart, prompting a strategic evaluation for smaller retailers seeking to leverage AI effectively. The data also offers a crucial benchmark for measuring the real-world impact of generative AI on online sales.

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